Current conditions

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2026 Feb 15 1805 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
#          Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 14 February follow.
Solar flux 117 and estimated planetary A-index 11.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1800 UTC on 15 February was 3.33.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely.

wwv alert messages

Last 25 or 250 wwv alert messages.

Solar activity and geomagnetic forecast

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for high latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2026 Feb 15	2	4	3	5	5	6	3	3
2026 Feb 16	4	4	5	5	4	2	2	2
2026 Feb 17	2	3	4	4	4	2	1	2

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at high latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2026 Feb 15	5	20	75
2026 Feb 16	10	20	65
2026 Feb 17	15	30	40

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for mid latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2026 Feb 15	2	4	3	3	3	4	3	4
2026 Feb 16	4	4	4	3	2	1	2	3
2026 Feb 17	2	3	3	3	2	1	2	2

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at mid latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2026 Feb 15	35	35	15
2026 Feb 16	35	30	10
2026 Feb 17	30	15	1

24-hour forecast of a polar cap absorption (PCA) event

Green
No active sunspot region on the Sun is likely to produce a PCA event in the 24 hours.

Computed daily at 23h00Utc from datas issued from SEC.
f5len.org (c 2004-2010)

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