Current conditions

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2025 Nov 15 1205 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
#          Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 14 November follow.
Solar flux 145 and estimated planetary A-index 5.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 15 November was 1.67.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are likely.

wwv alert messages

Last 25 or 250 wwv alert messages.

Solar activity and geomagnetic forecast

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for high latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00
2025 Nov 15 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 1
2025 Nov 16 1 1 1 2 3 4 3 3
2025 Nov 17 3 4 5 5 5 4 2 2

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at high latitudes

  Active Minor_Storm Major-Severe_Storm
2025 Nov 15 15 25 25
2025 Nov 16 10 30 55
2025 Nov 17 10 25 65

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for mid latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00
2025 Nov 15 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2
2025 Nov 16 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 4
2025 Nov 17 3 4 4 3 3 3 2 3

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at mid latitudes

  Active Minor_Storm Major-Severe_Storm
2025 Nov 15 20 5 1
2025 Nov 16 35 25 5
2025 Nov 17 40 30 5

24-hour forecast of a polar cap absorption (PCA) event

Green
No active sunspot region on the Sun is likely to produce a PCA event in the 24 hours.

Computed daily at 23h00Utc from datas issued from SEC.
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